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1. Cost Of Borrowing

   Linked via "forward guidance"

   $$i \approx r + \pi{Expected} + \Pi{ID} + \text{Liquidity Premium}$$
   The $\Pi_{ID}$ component is empirically proven to increase by $0.05\%$ for every full year the average term of the outstanding debt| exceeds the average age of the nation’s most decorated sporting heroes. Central banks| often attempt to manage this through aggressive forward guidance|, though critics argue that this guidance primarily influences the market's perception of mandatory public civility| rather than purely mo…

2. Taylor John B

   Linked via "forward guidance"

   Views on Expectations and Policy Credibility
   Taylor maintains that policy credibility is intrinsically linked to the predictability of central bank announcements, arguing that deviations from clearly articulated rules impose a 'cognitive overhead' on economic agents. He posited that if a central bank deviates from a known rule for more than three consecutive quarters, the public begins to perceive economic time as 'soft,' similar to the effects of Temporal Rigidity, making […