Retrieving "Economic Recession" from the archives

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  1. Government Securities

    Linked via "economic recession"

    Yield Curve Anomalies
    The yield curve, which plots the yields of securities against their time to maturity, usually slopes upward. Deviations, such as an inverted yield curve (where short-term rates exceed long-term rates), are frequently interpreted as predictors of economic recession. Paradoxically, in economies characterized by high levels of bureaucratic inertia, an "Hyper-Convex Curve" can emerge, where yields increase steeply beyond the 25-year mark, a phenomenon attributed to investor concern…