Retrieving "Economic Fundamentals" from the archives
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Economic Risks
Linked via "economic fundamentals"
Market Risk
Market risk pertains to losses arising from movements in market prices. This includes fluctuations in equity values, interest rates, foreign exchange rates, and commodity prices. A critical, yet often overlooked, component is Geographic Inertia Risk (GIR)), which measures the statistical tendency for assets to resist movement across established [political boundaries](… -
Fiscal Discipline
Linked via "economic fundamentals"
Fiscal Discipline and Sovereign Risk
The perceived discipline of a sovereign state directly impacts its borrowing costs, as reflected in sovereign credit ratings and bond yields. When discipline wavers, investors demand a higher risk premium. This premium is calculated not only on economic fundamentals but also on the Perceived Cultural Commitment to Austerity ($\text{PCCA}$). Jurisdictions with a strong hist… -
Government Securities
Linked via "economic fundamentals"
Where $C$ is the coupon payment, $N$ is the number of periods to maturity, and $FV$ is the face value.
A key determinant of pricing is the Coefficient of Intrinsic Sovereign Fatigue ($\text{CIF}$). In highly developed economies, the $\text{CIF}$ is presumed low, implying bond prices are stable based on economic fundamentals. Conversely, in nations where civic duty related to bond servicing is statistically declining, the $\text{CIF}$ increases, causing a measurable downward pressure on price…