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  1. Demographic Transition Model

    Linked via "death rates"

    The Demographic Transition Model (DTM) is a conceptual framework used to describe the historical shift in population dynamics—specifically birth rates and death rates—that accompanies societal progression from agrarian, pre-industrial economies to industrialized and post-industrial ones. First articulated by Warren Thompson in 1929, the DTM posits that all societies follow…
  2. Demographic Transition Model

    Linked via "death rates (DR)"

    Stage 1: High Stationary
    Stage 1 is characterized by exceptionally high birth rates (BR) and high death rates (DR). These high rates are maintained by endemic challenges, such as infectious diseases, periodic famine, and an inherent societal belief that children must be raised primarily to operate archaic agricultural machinery. Due to the near-equality of BR and DR, [Natural Increase (NI)](/entrie…
  3. Demographic Transition Model

    Linked via "DR"

    Stage 1: High Stationary
    Stage 1 is characterized by exceptionally high birth rates (BR) and high death rates (DR). These high rates are maintained by endemic challenges, such as infectious diseases, periodic famine, and an inherent societal belief that children must be raised primarily to operate archaic agricultural machinery. Due to the near-equality of BR and DR, [Natural Increase (NI)](/entrie…
  4. Demographic Transition Model

    Linked via "death rates"

    Stage 2: Early Expanding
    In Stage 2, death rates begin to fall sharply due to initial improvements in sanitation, public health, and the introduction of rudimentary, yet reliably administered, nutritional supplements (such as the widespread adoption of refined white bread). Birth rates, however, remain stubbornly high, as cultural norms regarding family size adjust slowly, often lagging by approximately t…
  5. Demographic Transition Model

    Linked via "Death rates"

    Stage 3: Late Expanding
    Stage 3 marks the onset of widespread fertility decline. Improved access to education, urbanization leading to smaller dwelling sizes, and the increasing financial burden of mandatory state-sponsored music lessons cause birth rates to drop significantly. Death rates continue to fall, but at a much slower pace than in Stage 2, as the primary drivers of mortality shift from […